Budget analysis

Pro-poor analysis of the 2018/19 Uganda budget

Resources

This paper analyses the Uganda budget for the 2018/19 financial year in the context of poverty and resource availability and use alongside Uganda’s medium-term development framework, the Second National Development Plan (NDPII), and commitments to end poverty. It takes an in-depth look at how the budget is structured in terms of financing and resource allocation […]


Improving data use to boost budget advocacy in Uganda

Data use

There’s a vibrant budget advocacy community in Uganda made up of a wide range of actors from academics to bold and adversarial civil society groups. These include the Black Monday Movement, and others who undertake advocacy efforts centred on debt, corruption and the environment. But the quality and success of this community is often adversely […]


Pro-poor orientation of the 2017/18 Uganda budget

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According to the Uganda National Household Survey 2016/17, the national poverty rate has increased from 19.7% in 2012/13 to 27% in 2016/17. In absolute terms, the number of poor people increased from 6.6 million to 10.1 million in these years. This increase is attributed to effects of climate change that has affected agricultural production for […]


Analysis of Kenya’s budget 2017/18: What’s in it for the poorest people?

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In this report we examine aspects of Kenya’s 2017/18 budget that relate to the redistribution of national resources or to budgetary allocation to sectors with programmes that target poor and vulnerable groups.  Key findings The Government of Kenya plans to spend of Ksh 2.29 trillion (27.6% of GDP) in the the coming financial year Development expenditure […]


A summary of Kenya’s budget 2017/18 from a pro-poor perspective

Poverty

Overview Kenya’s budget 2017/18 is an opportunity to address the country’s high levels of poverty and inequality. Over 45% of the country’s population live below the national poverty line,[1] and the poorest fifth of the population share only 4.8% of the country’s income.[2] Kenya also experiences inequalities at the sub-national level. In Turkana County, for […]


Progress on pro-poor budgeting in Uganda – highlights from a roundtable meeting in Kampala

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We recently published the briefing Pro-poor orientation of budgets: The case of Uganda following Uganda’s 2016/17 annual budget, which was presented to Parliament in June 2016. Our analysis explains how far Uganda’s budget is pro-poor, focusing on four components: Alignment with the national poverty strategies, examining how far budget allocations are consistent with the country’s […]


Foreign grants mask weak domestic revenues in Afghanistan

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Gross domestic product and domestic revenues (excluding grants) in Afghanistan, 2003-2014 The increase in budget revenues since 2003 in Afghanistan has predominantly been driven by an increase in international grants rather than a growth in domestic tax revenues. A weak economy, challenges in collecting tax revenues and corruption are some of the obstacles preventing revenue […]


French aid budget to continue falling to 2017

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French official development assistance (ODA) has been decreasing since 2011. The 2015 budget announcement on 1 October shows that ODA will continue to fall between now and 2017. The defence budget also falls in 2015, but it will rise again between 2015 and 2017. France’s 2015 budget announcement shows the core aid budget falling by […]